Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.507476e-05 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000065
2025-04-20 1.793004e-05 0.000024 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000077
2025-04-27 1.398026e-05 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000053 0.000069 0.000089
2025-05-04 1.124196e-05 0.000018 0.000027 0.000040 0.000056 0.000075 0.000100
2025-05-11 9.909480e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000042 0.000060 0.000084 0.000116
2025-05-18 8.139489e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000041 0.000062 0.000089 0.000126
2025-05-25 6.321894e-06 0.000013 0.000023 0.000039 0.000062 0.000091 0.000132
2025-06-01 5.075490e-06 0.000012 0.000022 0.000038 0.000062 0.000094 0.000139
2025-06-08 4.173906e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000038 0.000064 0.000099 0.000148
2025-06-15 3.457620e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000038 0.000065 0.000103 0.000157
2025-06-22 2.805618e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000037 0.000066 0.000106 0.000165
2025-06-29 2.162731e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000036 0.000065 0.000107 0.000170
2025-07-06 1.474094e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000033 0.000063 0.000107 0.000173
2025-07-13 1.041648e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000032 0.000063 0.000109 0.000180
2025-07-20 7.888759e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000032 0.000064 0.000114 0.000191
2025-07-27 5.963555e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000032 0.000066 0.000119 0.000202
2025-08-03 5.294197e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000033 0.000070 0.000128 0.000219
2025-08-10 3.875219e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000072 0.000133 0.000230
2025-08-17 2.394919e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000032 0.000070 0.000133 0.000234
2025-08-24 1.536548e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000070 0.000136 0.000242
2025-08-31 1.008405e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000030 0.000071 0.000140 0.000251
2025-09-07 6.485971e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000030 0.000072 0.000144 0.000261
2025-09-14 3.722258e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000030 0.000073 0.000147 0.000270